# Confidence Calibration on BeyondAIME (test)

Source: [Confidence Calibration on BeyondAIME (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T06:03:00.906Z

Evaluation of model confidence calibration performance on the test split of the BeyondAIME dataset.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Confidence Calibration |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | BeyondAIME (test) |
| Metric | SNR Gain |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 15 of 15 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [SNR Gain](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=SNR%20Gain>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Confidence AUC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Confidence%20AUC>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Absolute Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Absolute%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Smoothed ECE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Smoothed%20ECE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Brier Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Brier%20Score>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Negative Log Likelihood](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Negative%20Log%20Likelihood>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Prediction Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-calibration-on-beyondaime-test.md?metric=Prediction%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | SNR Gain | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct-ppo-value | 1.202 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-ce | 1.097 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-prod | 0.806 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-instruct-confidence-brier | 0.802 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-min | 0.683 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| o4-mini | 0.515 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| GPT-5 | 0.207 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| GPT-oss-120b | 0.154 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-instruct-ppo | 0.101 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Kimi-K2-0905 | 0.087 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct | 0.084 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Gemini-2.5-Pro | 0.071 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-max | 0.043 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| GLM-4.5 | 0.016 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |
| Qwen3-next-80b-a3b-thinking | 0.006 | Not recorded | 694b739553fdd5c361739b4e |

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct-ppo-value

SNR Gain: 1.202. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd579.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Method":"Critic Value"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-ce

SNR Gain: 1.097. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd578.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Method":"Behaviorally Calibrated Reinforcement Learning","Loss Type":"ce"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-prod

SNR Gain: 0.806. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd577.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Method":"Behaviorally Calibrated Reinforcement Learning","Loss Type":"prod"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-instruct-confidence-brier

SNR Gain: 0.802. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd576.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Method":"Behaviorally Calibrated Reinforcement Learning","Loss Type":"brier"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct-confidence-min

SNR Gain: 0.683. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd575.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Method":"Behaviorally Calibrated Reinforcement Learning","Loss Type":"min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### o4-mini

SNR Gain: 0.515. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd574.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5

SNR Gain: 0.207. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd573.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-oss-120b

SNR Gain: 0.154. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd572.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7ab01e209131cea84a0c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-instruct-ppo

SNR Gain: 0.101. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd571.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Kimi-K2-0905

SNR Gain: 0.087. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd570.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7a4a1e209131cea823a1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct

SNR Gain: 0.084. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd56f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Gemini-2.5-Pro

SNR Gain: 0.071. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd56e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c311e209131cea8cef5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-max

SNR Gain: 0.043. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd56d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GLM-4.5

SNR Gain: 0.016. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd56c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7a891e209131cea83c41.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-next-80b-a3b-thinking

SNR Gain: 0.006. Result ID: 699945b25698665ec4afd56b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/694b739553fdd5c361739b4e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
