# Causal Spatial Reasoning on CausalSpatial Level 2

Source: [Causal Spatial Reasoning on CausalSpatial Level 2](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:39:31.160Z

Evaluation of model performance on the CausalSpatial Level 2 dataset, focusing on causal and spatial reasoning capabilities measured by various anticipation scores.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Causal Spatial Reasoning |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | CausalSpatial Level 2 |
| Metric | Collision Anticipation |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 17 of 17 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Collision Anticipation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Collision%20Anticipation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Compatibility Anticipation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Compatibility%20Anticipation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Occlusion Anticipation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Occlusion%20Anticipation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Trajectory Anticipation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Trajectory%20Anticipation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Average Anticipation Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Average%20Anticipation%20Score>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Not Sure Rate (NSR)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/causal-spatial-reasoning-on-causalspatial-level-2.md?metric=Not%20Sure%20Rate%20(NSR)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Collision Anticipation | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Human | 78.57 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Gemini2.5 Flash | 42.31 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| GPT5 | 40.94 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| GPT5-mini | 35.43 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-30B-A3B-T. | 35.09 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Gemini2.5 Pro | 30.65 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen2.5-VL-7B-I. | 30.4 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-30B-A3B-I. | 30.16 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Sonnet 3.7 | 29.41 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Spatial-MLLM | 24.41 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-4B-I. | 24.41 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-8B-T. | 23.75 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-8B-I. | 22.76 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Qwen3-VL-2B-I. | 19.35 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Spatial-VLM | 15.75 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| LLaVAOneVision1.5-8B-I. | 15.38 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |
| Random | 8.54 | Not recorded | 69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a |

### Human

Collision Anticipation: 78.57. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbed.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Gemini2.5 Flash

Collision Anticipation: 42.31. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbeb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT5

Collision Anticipation: 40.94. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT5-mini

Collision Anticipation: 35.43. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-30B-A3B-T.

Collision Anticipation: 35.09. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"30B-A3B","Reasoning\_Trained":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Gemini2.5 Pro

Collision Anticipation: 30.65. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbea.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen2.5-VL-7B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 30.4. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-30B-A3B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 30.16. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"30B-A3B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Sonnet 3.7

Collision Anticipation: 29.41. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbec.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Spatial-MLLM

Collision Anticipation: 24.41. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbdf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78f11e209131cea7b58a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-4B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 24.41. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"4B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-8B-T.

Collision Anticipation: 23.75. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"8B","Reasoning\_Trained":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-8B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 22.76. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"8B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-VL-2B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 19.35. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"2B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Spatial-VLM

Collision Anticipation: 15.75. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbde.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71f91e209131cea53d86.md>)

[Implementation](<https://spatial-vlm.github.io/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LLaVAOneVision1.5-8B-I.

Collision Anticipation: 15.38. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbe0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa756f1e209131cea67e58.md>)

[Implementation](<https://llava-vl.github.io/blog/llava-onevision>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Scale":"8B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Random

Collision Anticipation: 8.54. Result ID: 6997a7bf5698665ec4fddbee.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69705ddae25ad2fa9d1ed67a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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