# Atrial Fibrillation risk classification on AF prediction dataset 24-month target (train)

Source: [Atrial Fibrillation risk classification on AF prediction dataset 24-month target (train)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-11T09:56:18.075Z

Evaluation of Atrial Fibrillation risk classification performance using the training split of the AF prediction dataset, focusing on the 24-month target, reporting Balanced Accuracy, Macro F1, Macro Precision, Macro Recall, ROC AUC, and PRC AUC.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Atrial Fibrillation risk classification |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | AF prediction dataset 24-month target (train) |
| Metric | Balanced Accuracy |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 7 of 7 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Balanced Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=Balanced%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Macro F1](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=Macro%20F1>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Macro Precision](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=Macro%20Precision>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Macro Recall](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=Macro%20Recall>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [ROC AUC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=ROC%20AUC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [PRC AUC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/atrial-fibrillation-risk-classification-on-af-prediction-dataset-24-month-target-train.md?metric=PRC%20AUC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Balanced Accuracy | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Full model | 0.904 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| Simple model | 0.821 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| Linear model | 0.5 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| HAVOC | 0.5 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| CHARGE-AF | 0.5 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| C2HEST | 0.5 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |
| MHS | 0.5 | Not recorded | 6a28f37690966ade919c1998 |

### Full model

Balanced Accuracy: 0.904. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f41.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Simple model

Balanced Accuracy: 0.821. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f42.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months","number of predictors":"13"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Linear model

Balanced Accuracy: 0.5. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f43.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HAVOC

Balanced Accuracy: 0.5. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f44.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CHARGE-AF

Balanced Accuracy: 0.5. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f45.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### C2HEST

Balanced Accuracy: 0.5. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f46.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MHS

Balanced Accuracy: 0.5. Result ID: 6a2a850efbc373592c281f47.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a28f37690966ade919c1998.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"prediction horizon":"24 months"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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