# Aerodynamic Coefficient Prediction on AIAA UQ Challenge 2 (withheld val points)

Source: [Aerodynamic Coefficient Prediction on AIAA UQ Challenge 2 (withheld val points)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/aerodynamic-coefficient-prediction-on-aiaa-uq-challenge-2-withheld-val-points>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-30T06:35:45.423Z

Evaluation of model performance on predicting aerodynamic coefficients using the AIAA UQ Challenge 2 dataset, focusing on uncertainty quantification metrics like mass bounds and specific function evaluations (F(L), F(U)).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Aerodynamic Coefficient Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | AIAA UQ Challenge 2 (withheld val points) |
| Metric | Mass Coverage \[L, U\] |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 36 of 36 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Mass Coverage \[L, U\]](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/aerodynamic-coefficient-prediction-on-aiaa-uq-challenge-2-withheld-val-points.md?metric=Mass%20Coverage%20%5BL%2C%20U%5D>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [F(L) Evaluation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/aerodynamic-coefficient-prediction-on-aiaa-uq-challenge-2-withheld-val-points.md?metric=F(L)%20Evaluation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [F(U) Evaluation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/aerodynamic-coefficient-prediction-on-aiaa-uq-challenge-2-withheld-val-points.md?metric=F(U)%20Evaluation>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Mass Coverage \[L, U\] | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 100 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 95.8 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 95.8 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 95.5 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 95.5 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 95.1 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Truth | 95 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.9 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.9 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.9 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.5 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.4 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.3 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| Distribution | 94.2 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 73.3 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 63 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 38.2 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 27.4 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |
| First-moment | 11 | Not recorded | 6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b |

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b084.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b087.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b090.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 100. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b099.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95.8. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b088.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95.8. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b094.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95.5. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b082.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95.5. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b09a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95.1. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b097.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b077.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b080.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b083.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b086.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b089.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b092.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b095.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Truth

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 95. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b098.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.9. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.9. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.9. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b091.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.5. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cm"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.4. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b085.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.3. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b07c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Distribution

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 94.2. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b079.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 73.3. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b078.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"-3°","beta\_flap":"-3°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 63. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b08a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"2°","beta\_flap":"2°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 38.2. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b081.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"0°","beta\_flap":"0°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 27.4. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b093.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cl"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### First-moment

Mass Coverage \[L, U\]: 11. Result ID: 6a4363a6fbc373592c92b096.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a434d64ba73165dbb74379b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"alpha":"7°","beta\_flap":"15°","QoI":"Cd"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
