# Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecast-level Season 4 1.0

Source: [Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecast-level Season 4 1.0](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.822Z

Evaluation of model performance using correlation analysis metrics (r and p-values) on the ACE Forecast-level dataset, specifically Season 4 version 1.0.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Accuracy Correlation Analysis |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ACE Forecast-level Season 4 1.0 |
| Metric | Human Rating r |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 2 of 2 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Human Rating r](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Human%20Rating%20r>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM r](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20r>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM p](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20p>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Human Rating p](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Human%20Rating%20p>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Between r](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Between%20r>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Between p](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=Between%20p>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Better p](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecast-level-season-4-1-0.md?metric=EQM%20Better%20p>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Human Rating r | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EQM composite score | 0.07 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| Human Rating | 0.07 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |

### EQM composite score

Human Rating r: 0.07. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fad.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"5,190","Metric (Ground Truth)":"BSdiff","Training Set":"Seasons 1-3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Human Rating

Human Rating r: 0.07. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8fae.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"5,190","Metric (Ground Truth)":"BSdiff"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.