# Multitask Multimodal Fusion with Tabular Foundation Models for Peak and Durability Prediction of Pertussis Booster Response

Source: [Multitask Multimodal Fusion with Tabular Foundation Models for Peak and Durability Prediction of Pertussis Booster Response](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0556e7dbc836b87d828adf>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-15T05:00:04.680Z

Authors: Divya Sitani

Published: 2026-05-13T01:00:50.000Z

## Abstract

Pertussis booster vaccination produces immune responses that vary widely across individuals in both peak magnitude and long-term durability. These two phases are governed by partly distinct biological compartments:peak reflects acute B-cell activation and antibody secretion, while durability reflects the establishment of long-term humoral memory. Yet most computational models target only one, missing the full boost-and-wane trajectory. Jointly predicting both is non-trivial because the two endpoints are biologically dissociated rather than redundant; samples are small, modalities are heterogeneous with structured missingness, and the two tasks rely on different measurement windows. We propose a multi-task contrastive multimodal fusion architecture combining frozen TabPFN-v2 per-modality encoders, a dual-label supervised contrastive loss that treats two subjects as a positive pair if they agree on the Task 1 label or the Task 2 label, modality dropout calibrated to empirical missingness, and missingness-masked attention fusion. Applied to a curated subset of the CMI-PB pertussis booster dataset (n = 158 subjects, four modalities, 44.9% with at least one modality missing; Spearman r = -0.58 between peak and durability, n = 96), the model achieves test AUROC 0.797 (95% CI \[0.621, 0.948\]) for peak response and 0.755 (95% CI \[0.519, 0.945\]) for durability, with both significant under joint label permutation (N = 1000; p = 0.002 and p = 0.045). Across logistic regression, XGBoost, and MLP baselines on raw features and on TabPFN embeddings, the proposed model is the only one whose 95% CIs lie above chance on both tasks simultaneously. Per-modality contribution analyses recover task-specific modality contributions consistent with the underlying immunology: peak prediction is carried by cytokine signatures, while durability is carried by baseline antibody features.

## Recorded benchmark results

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

- [Peak prediction (Task 1) on CMI-PB (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/peak-prediction-task-1-on-cmi-pb-test.md>): Peak prediction (Task 1); CMI-PB (test); AUROC: 0.797.

- [Durability prediction (Task 2) on CMI-PB (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/durability-prediction-task-2-on-cmi-pb-test.md>): Durability prediction (Task 2); CMI-PB (test); AUROC: 0.755.

## Original sources and implementation

[Original paper](<https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12852>)

[PDF](<https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.12852.pdf>)
