# TULiP: Test-time Uncertainty Estimation via Linearization and Weight Perturbation

Source: [TULiP: Test-time Uncertainty Estimation via Linearization and Weight Perturbation](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78b51e209131cea79eb6>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2025-10-26T04:44:13.662Z

Authors: Yuhui Zhang, Dongshen Wu, Yuichiro Wada, Takafumi Kanamori

Published: 2025-05-22T17:16:41.000Z

## Abstract

A reliable uncertainty estimation method is the foundation of many modern out-of-distribution (OOD) detectors, which are critical for safe deployments of deep learning models in the open world. In this work, we propose TULiP, a theoretically-driven post-hoc uncertainty estimator for OOD detection. Our approach considers a hypothetical perturbation applied to the network before convergence. Based on linearized training dynamics, we bound the effect of such perturbation, resulting in an uncertainty score computable by perturbing model parameters. Ultimately, our approach computes uncertainty from a set of sampled predictions. We visualize our bound on synthetic regression and classification datasets. Furthermore, we demonstrate the effectiveness of TULiP using large-scale OOD detection benchmarks for image classification. Our method exhibits state-of-the-art performance, particularly for near-distribution samples.

## Recorded benchmark results

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

## Original sources and implementation

[Original paper](<https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.16923>)

[PDF](<https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.16923.pdf>)
