# Confidence Estimation Using Unlabeled Data

Source: [Confidence Estimation Using Unlabeled Data](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70171e209131cea48e88>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2025-10-28T13:57:00.032Z

Authors: Chen Li, Xiaoling Hu, Chao Chen

Published: 2023-07-19T20:11:30.000Z

## Abstract

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this paper, we propose the first confidence estimation method for a semi-supervised setting, when most training labels are unavailable. We stipulate that even with limited training labels, we can still reasonably approximate the confidence of model on unlabeled samples by inspecting the prediction consistency through the training process. We use training consistency as a surrogate function and propose a consistency ranking loss for confidence estimation. On both image classification and segmentation tasks, our method achieves state-of-the-art performances in confidence estimation. Furthermore, we show the benefit of the proposed method through a downstream active learning task. The code is available at https://github.com/TopoXLab/consistency-ranking-loss

## Recorded benchmark results

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

## Original sources and implementation

[Original paper](<https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.10440>)

[PDF](<https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.10440.pdf>)
