# Confidence Calibration with Bounded Error Using Transformations Source: [Confidence Calibration with Bounded Error Using Transformations]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2025-10-28T13:56:51.173Z Authors: Sooyong Jang, Radoslav Ivanov, Insup Lee, James Weimer Published: 2021-02-25T04:40:27.000Z ## Abstract As machine learning techniques become widely adopted in new domains, especially in safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles, it is crucial to provide accurate output uncertainty estimation. As a result, many approaches have been proposed to calibrate neural networks to accurately estimate the likelihood of misclassification. However, while these methods achieve low calibration error, there is space for further improvement, especially in large-dimensional settings such as ImageNet. In this paper, we introduce a calibration algorithm, named Hoki, that works by applying random transformations to the neural network logits. We provide a sufficient condition for perfect calibration based on the number of label prediction changes observed after applying the transformations. We perform experiments on multiple datasets and show that the proposed approach generally outperforms state-of-the-art calibration algorithms across multiple datasets and models, especially on the challenging ImageNet dataset. Finally, Hoki is scalable as well, as it requires comparable execution time to that of temperature scaling. ## Recorded benchmark results A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. ## Original sources and implementation [Original paper]() [PDF]()