# Confidence-weighted integration of human and machine judgments for superior decision-making

Source: [Confidence-weighted integration of human and machine judgments for superior decision-making](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f881e209131ce9eabf1>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2025-10-25T19:20:46.140Z

Authors: Felipe Y\\'a\\~nez, Xiaoliang Luo, Omar Valerio Minero, Bradley C. Love

Published: 2024-08-15T11:16:21.000Z

## Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) can surpass humans in certain forecasting tasks. What role does this leave for humans in the overall decision process? One possibility is that humans, despite performing worse than LLMs, can still add value when teamed with them. A human and machine team can surpass each individual teammate when team members' confidence is well-calibrated and team members diverge in which tasks they find difficult (i.e., calibration and diversity are needed). We simplified and extended a Bayesian approach to combining judgments using a logistic regression framework that integrates confidence-weighted judgments for any number of team members. Using this straightforward method, we demonstrated its effectiveness in both image classification and neuroscience forecasting tasks. Combining human judgments with one or more machines consistently improved overall team performance. Our hope is that this simple and effective strategy for integrating the judgments of humans and machines will lead to productive collaborations.

## Recorded benchmark results

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

## Original sources and implementation

[Original paper](<https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.08083>)

[PDF](<https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.08083.pdf>)
